Presentation Materials
Main Q&A (Analyst Meeting after the Results for the 1Q FY2020)
Announced on August 7, 2020
Please be advised that the following text has been edited/modified from the original Q&A conversations for the sake of clarity.
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Questioner No. 1
Q1 I would like to ask about the trend of mobile communications services revenues. Your total communications revenues have been on a downtrend despite the firm ARPU performance. Please explain the factors behind this, including the impact of subscriber outflows to the competition (e.g., Rakuten Mobile, UQ Mobile and Y!mobile) and the revision of MVNO rates following the arbitration by the Minister of Internal Affairs and Communications.
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Q2 Are you projecting a sluggish growth for mobile communications services revenues despite the favorable ARPU trend because of your conservative forecasts of DOCOMO brand users and MVNO subscriptions? Also, does your estimate factor in a certain number of Rakuten MVNO users switching to the MNO service operated by Rakuten?
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Q3 Regarding the operating profit from Smart life business and Other businesses, you explained during the recent earnings call that while you achieved solid profit generation in FY2020/1Q, you plan to make various investments in and after FY2020/2Q for future business expansion. Please give us an explanation on the concrete promotions and investments you are contemplating.
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Questioner No. 2
Q1 This is a question about your dividend policy. While you decided on a dividend increase of 5 yen this time around, do you foresee any possibility of reviewing the amount to a 10-yen increase per share depending on your financial performance for this fiscal year or beyond? Or, would you rather shifting your focus to share repurchases keeping the dividend increase at 5 yen per share?
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Q2 Is it correct to understand that DOCOMO is not so keen about Dynamic Spectrum Sharing (DSS), and you plan to pursue network rollout using the spectrum allocated for 5G?
Other carriers have explained that they will expand the number of base stations using DSS, which may put DOCOMO in a competitive disadvantage in terms of area coverage from the viewpoint of consumers. What are your views on this?Open
Q3 I appreciate the approach you adopted is very sincere in that you are trying to deliver performances that can only be realized with 5G. But customers may not care so much about that. What do you think?
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Questioner No. 3
Q1 Can you give us a breakdown of the operating revenues from Smart life business and Other businesses by category (for both FY2020/1Q and the same quarter of the previous fiscal year)?
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Q2 The figures for FY2020/1Q that you just explained do not add up to 100%. Is it because of the slight revenue discrepancies in the order of 5%?
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Q3 Concerning the key services in the content/lifestyle category, please share with us the elements that you think are superior to the competition and points that require further reinforcement.
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Q4 Is it correct to assume that the number of “DAZN for docomo” subscribers increases during the sports seasons or when there are special events like World Cup game, but the number of cancellations grows once the season finishes?
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Q5 Will mobile carriers be negatively affected by the introduction of local 5G by other players? Also, since you declared that you plan to support the buildout of local 5G, can you comment on the projected revenue size from this business?
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Questioner No. 4
Q1 You are projecting a year-on-year decrease in mobile communications services revenues for FY2020. However, given the uptrend of ARPU, do you foresee a revenue increase in the second half over the first half?
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Q2 During your recent earnings call, you mentioned that Smart life business and Other businesses will be the main driver to achieve your operating profit target of 990 billion yen in FY2023. To deliver on this target, you will have to expand the profit from Smart life business and Other businesses by approximately 100 billion yen over the next three years. Please elaborate on the profit growth projected for each category of Smart life business and Other businesses. In particular, I am keen to know how long you will continue making advance investments for finance/payment business, and when they will start generating additional profits.
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Questioner No. 5
Q1 As Executive Vice President Hiroi was appointed as the CFO, I would like to take this opportunity to confirm DOCOMO’s policy concerning the allocation of managerial resources. Will there be any changes in your approach to M&A? Will there be any areas where your ties with NTT become closer? And how will they be reflected in your financial strategies?
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Q2 Please share with us your basic policy for acquiring financial resources and your views on leveraging?
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Q3 DOCOMO has been strongly focusing on the creation of B2B business leveraging 5G, and I believe the number of organizations participating in the DOCOMO 5G Open Partner Program already exceeded 3,400. How do you think the number of partners will change in the future in view of the impact of COVID-19 as some companies may no longer have the capacity to tackle 5G? On the other hand, various new business opportunities may arise based on the request from society. I would appreciate your comment on this, including the outlook for the next 2-3 years.
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Questioner No. 6
Q1 You explained that Smart life business, particularly the finance/payment category, will become the main driver for your operating profit recovery to 990 billion yen by 2023. Does it imply that you will be able to achieve your target operating profit by growing the profits generated by the finance/payment services through the expansion of “d CARD” and “d Payment” services as well as the “d POINT” economic sphere tied to those payment solutions? Or do you also contemplate non-organic growth including the enrichment of other fields like banking and brokerage services? Please explain your views.
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Q2 According to the recent results announcement by SoftBank, their subscriber outflows to Rakuten MNO service for the April-June quarter was almost comparable to the number of outflows to Rakuten MVNO service. Did you experience a similar trend? Do you think consumers simply did not attach a strong priority to replacing their mobile phone during the months of April-June due to the COVID-19 outbreak, and Rakuten’s MNO service will be a more serious threat once the COVID-19 impacts subside? Or do you view that Rakuten’s current rate plans and communication quality still do not pose a threat to you because of your superior network quality and the benefits of “docomo Hikari Set” discount, etc.? Please let us know if there are any changes to your assessment compared to the previous quarter.
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Questioner No. 7
Q1 Your competitors have announced their medium-term targets of achieving an unprecedented level of profit in FY2023. DOCOMO, in contrast, merely set a target to recover your previous level of profit. Because the same regulations are applied equally, I consider all carriers are living under the same circumstances, so I must say that the message that you are communicating to investors and shareholders are inferior to the competitions’. The fact that you set a medium-term target to recover the past profit level is problematic from the viewpoint of an investor. If you consider yourself as a growth company, don’t you think it is about time that you send a message to demonstrate that?
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Q2 Social contribution is a splendid idea, but the only thing DOCOMO has committed to investors in your communication so far is dividend increase. If you are to raise your dividends, I believe it is also necessary for you to present your future directions using numerical financial indicators, e.g., medium-term DPS or EPS targets. Otherwise, investors will lose the interest to follow you. Please explain your views about adopting medium-term financial targets.
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Q3 About the outlook of your subscriptions, the total number of i-mode and sp-mode subscriptions has been recording net losses. With the availability of increased options, such as Rakuten’s entry in the mobile communications market, MVNOs offer various plans at a low price and second brands operated by mobile carriers, the needs of consumers have diversified, but I believe you are continuing to lose subscribers because you have not been able to adapt to this change. Do you think it is right to continue on the current avenue? Or do you see the need of changing the way of your business? Please share with us your thoughts from the viewpoint of subscriber acquisition.
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Questioner No. 8
Q1 You said the total number of “d CARD” members topped 13 million. However, the user base of PayPay has already grown to over 30 million, marking a 3.5-fold increase in just one year. As your competitors are also moving much faster in the development of merchant network, it seems that you are left behind in this race. Isn’t is possible for you to act more quickly?
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Q2 Should I anticipate that you will raise the bar as you push forward your initiatives going forward? Because the first mover always gets the advantage in this kind of business, are you beginning to sense any improvements in your speediness?
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Q3 A question about 5G. Your competitors said they will pursue “private 5G” as an offering that sits between public and local 5G services. As I do not think carriers must always stick to the local 5G approach, I would like to hear your views on this.
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Q4 Is DOCOMO in a more advantageous position in terms of the average data usage of customer, or do your competitors have an edge? Going forward, as the migration to 5G makes progress, what kind of measures do you plan to implement so that you can secure an advantage in data capacity? One of your competitors often claims that they have an advantage because their customers’ average data usage has grown larger as a result of the introduction of Giga Monster package.
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Questioner No. 9
Q1 Can you give us an indication on the number of 5G base stations that will use DSS? And how do you plan to manage the spectrum in these base stations?
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Q2 Each carrier has been promoting non-telecommunications business, offering them to their existing telecommunications customer base. Among the various non-telecom offerings, carriers seem to have achieved a success in areas that offer great affinity with their telecommunications customer base. Do you have any plans to strengthen certain areas that are deemed to have good affinity with your telecommunications business, learning from the successful cases of other carriers? Or do you have a policy to make decisions solely based on your own strategy? For example, I believe KDDI’s Jibun Bank, one of their financial businesses, has established a strong presence in the market. Furthermore, SoftBank has also commenced electricity retail business. Do you have any plans to roll out power business?
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