Principal Questions and Answers Earnings Release for FY2011 1Q (ended June 30, 2011)
Announced on July 29, 2011
Please be advised that the following text has been edited/modified from the original Q&A conversations for the sake of clarity.
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Q1 |
You mentioned that your operating income for FY2011/1Q made positive progress reaching 31.5% of your full-year forecast, which can be interpreted as meaning that your profits have slightly outperformed your expectations. Operating income for FY2011/1Q was 11% higher compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, but I believe this number is inflated due to revisions made in loyalty program expenses in FY2010/2Q. Do you foresee any possibility of your FY2011/1H operating income growing more than the amount for the same period of the previous fiscal year? |
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A1 |
It is true that changes made to our handset repair system impacted on the year-on-year operating income growth recorded in FY2011/1Q. The differences arose because our FY2010/1Q results were compiled prior to the change of system, while our FY2011/1Q results were compiled thereafter. |
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Q2 |
From my conversations with distributors and manufacturers, I understand that there is a great disparity in sales performance among the different smartphone models. In addition, I heard that your competitors have effectively reduced sales prices through cash rebates. I understand the importance of raising your data ARPU through smartphones, but amid this intensifying competition, do you foresee any risks of having to further increase the amount of "Monthly Support" discounts offered, which may result in diminishing your voice ARPU? |
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A2 |
To comment on the recent trends in the competitive environment, operators tend to reduce smartphone prices for an expansion in sales, and, in some extreme cases, there have been cash rebates. Although our products, even of the same brand, are sold at prices higher than our competition, we compete by leveraging our high-quality network and services, including "docomo Anshin Scan" and sp-mode. Although we cannot rule out the possibility of some lowering in sales prices in the future, as a general direction we do not intend to reduce prices in any significant way. The "Value Plan" was originally introduced to provide discounts on monthly charges in lieu of asking customers to pay full price on the purchase of a handset, but with the launch of "Monthly Support," we are now providing discounts for what customers were supposed to pay the full amount. This has resulted in a reduction of both handset prices and communication charges, so we would like to maintain our prices at the current level for as long as the competitive environment allows. Our commission per subscriber is currently approximately 16,000 yen, and we do not want to significantly change this amount. |
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Q1 |
You mentioned that the total number of smartphones to be sold within this fiscal year may end up higher than your current forecast given the brisk sales recorded in recent months. Please comment on the future outlook. |
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A1 |
We sold over 700,000 smartphone units in the period between July 1, and July 28, 2011. We now have a strong lineup of attractive devices such as the GALAXY S II, Xperia acro and MEDIAS WP, and these smartphones all enjoy positive reviews. At this point, it is difficult to predict whether we can achieve a comparable volume of sales in August and the months ahead, and actual sales will depend on our 2011 winter product lineup. However, we are committed to continuing our efforts toward sales expansion. |
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Q2 |
There was a media report that you plan to release two tablet models and four smartphone models compatible with LTE during this fiscal year. If you are able to offer six different well made devices, I believe you will easily meet your target of acquiring 1.00 million LTE subscriptions. Please comment on your expectations for LTE devices. |
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A2 |
For LTE devices, we plan to release two tablet models (one from a Japanese manufacturer and one from a foreign manufacturer), and four smartphone models (two from Japanese manufacturers and two from foreign manufacturers). Because LTE has many heavy users, it will be difficult to continue a flat-rate billing system similar to that of the FOMA service. We hope to introduce a rate structure that will allow us to charge fees based on volume of data use. However, we are also aware that some customers harbor concerns about a completely tiered pricing structure, because they cannot tell how much they will have to pay each month. Therefore, we would like look into a number of options, such as a flat-rate scheme combined with additional fees for data use in excess of a certain limit, and/or a flat-rate scheme in which the transmission speed assigned to the user decreases after usage reaches a certain threshold. We will also study whether the 5GB threshold for charging an additional fee in our current two-tiered pricing scheme is adequate or not. We will aim to finalize these studies by Fall of this year. For the time being, we do not have any plans to introduce such new billing plans for our 3G FOMA service. |
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Q3 |
How confident are you of the achievability of your target to acquire 1.00 million LTE subscriptions by March 31, 2012? Do you think you can outperform your plans? |
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A3 |
We will make all-out efforts to meet the 1.00 million subscription target, but we do not think we will be able to achieve this if our products are limited to data cards. The necessary environment to tackle this challenge will be in place once LTE-enabled Wi-Fi routers and smartphones become available. |
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Q1 |
With regards to the "50.0 billion yen incremental expenses for measures aimed at future growth" presented in your initial business plan, can you explain your progress with regards to spending in FY2011/1Q, and any concrete measures implemented? |
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A1 |
To provide you with a rough breakdown of the 50.0 billion yen of expenses set out, these include (1) expenses for creating new revenue sources, (2) expenses related to mmbi, and (3) expenses required for implementing high-priority measures. Expenses for creating new revenue sources have been used for the development of "personalized services," "social support services" and "converged services." Expenses related to have been appropriated to prepare for the service launch of the multimedia broadcasting service scheduled for April 2012. Expenditures for high-priority measures include development expenses for transferring i-mode services to smartphones, and expenses required for reinforcing the responsiveness of our call center and other customer-front operations. We expect to incur expenses related to mmbi in the second half of FY2011. In FY2011/1Q, we used approximately 5.0 billion yen out of the total 50.0 billion yen increase in budget for future growth measures, in comparison to the previous fiscal year. |
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Q1 |
I believe you are planning to cut costs by 40.0 billion yen in FY2011 through cost-efficiency improvement efforts. How was your progress toward this in FY2011/1Q? You explained that you have already achieved a reduction of 29.0 billion yen in "other expenses" alone in FY2011/1Q. Is there a possibility of achieving cost reductions in excess of 40.0 billion yen? |
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A1 |
We expect to cut costs by a total of 40.0 billion yen in FY2011 through improvements in efficiency, of which a reduction of 10.0 billion yen has already been achieved in FY2011/1Q. This is a considerable improvement, achieved mostly through network-related costs. Our total expenses decreased by a larger amount, due primarily to efficiency improvements in costs resulting from revisions made to our loyalty point program and the handset repair system during the previous fiscal year. |
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Q2 |
Does that mean that the efficiency improvements you expect to achieve this fiscal year will be in line with your forecast of 40.0 billion yen and not any higher than that? |
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A2 |
We will implement cost efficiency measures according to plan. |
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Q1 |
"Other expenses" for FY2011/1Q has not changed significantly compared to the same period of the previous fiscal year, but I believe you are factoring in an increase in "expenses for measures aimed at future growth" in your business plan. Are you expecting a significant increase in "other expenses" in FY2012/2Q or subsequent quarters? |
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A1 |
Allowances earmarked for loyalty point program expenses dropped significantly in FY2010/2Q due to revisions made to our handset repair system in FY2010/2Q. Accordingly, when you make a year-on-year comparison between the first quarters of FY2010 and FY2011, you can see a huge difference in the amount of "other expenses," but that will not likely be the case in the second and subsequent quarters. We also have been making steady progress in the reduction of our total expenses, particularly in the area of facility-related costs. |
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Q2 |
Your equipment sales revenues recorded a decrease in FY2011/1Q. Is it correct to understand that you will aim to increase your equipment sales revenues by expanding smartphone sales in FY2011/2Q and beyond? |
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A2 |
Equipment sales revenues posted a decline due to the increasing popularity of our less expensive STYLE series handsets among i-mode phones, and also because the unit costs of smartphones are not necessarily so expensive. The question is whether we can increase the number of smartphones sold to a level that will more than offset the decrease in average handset cost, and we will strive to sell as many units as possible toward this end. |
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Q3 |
Changes in profitability of equipment sales business have significantly affected the FY2011/1Q results of your competitors. Do you have any plans to set your prices in a way that produces higher gross profits? Your competitors have already set higher gross margins and it seems that they are aiming to further expand the margin in FY2011/2Q and beyond. DOCOMO seems to be alone in moving in a different direction. |
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A3 |
Even if we increase our gross margin, we believe that the sales prices of devices will end up almost unchanged due to discounts such as "Monthly Support." |
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Q1 |
Going forward, I believe that an increasing number of low-usage i-mode users will begin to switch to smartphones. Do you think that these low-usage users will accept your current charges? I believe that your packet billing plans for smartphones are expensive by global comparison. Can you elaborate on your thoughts concerning future rate settings? |
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A1 |
Users who have switched to smartphones so far were mainly heavy data users with high IT literacy. We intend to review our rates in the future, in light of the projected increase in the migration of low-usage users to smartphones. While working to steadily brush up our i-mode handsets, we will also implement thorough measures to improve the convenience of smartphones so that these users will be satisfied with our existing billing plans even after they migrate to smartphones. |
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Q1 |
Was the 1,700-yen data ARPU boosting effect caused by subscriber migration to smartphones in line with your expectations? Can you also comment on the details concerning related user attributes as well as expected future changes in user profiles? |
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A1 |
A sample survey of users who migrated to smartphones showed a 1,700 yen increase in packet ARPU (increasing from 3,500 yen with an i-mode handset to 5,200 yen after switching to a smartphone). This is higher than our expectations, in which we estimated an increase of approximately 1,500 yen. However, as more subscribers to switch to the "Pake-hodai Flat" full flat-rate billing plan, we believe that post-migration ARPU will come down to around 5,000 yen. Users accustomed to spending 3,000 to 3,500 yen per month for packet access via i-mode may not feel any hesitation in switching to a smartphone, but lower-than-average i-mode packet ARPU users may not feel as comfortable. We will therefore implement various measures to facilitate their migration. |
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Q2 |
Recently at your shops, I saw some elderly users, who are assumed to have lower ARPUs, showing an interest in smartphones. If you capture these elderly users, the average packet usage of 3,500 yen prior to migration may be diluted, but I believe you will be able to achieve an increase of ARPU of more than 1,500 yen because they will pay a flat monthly rate after migration. What do you think about this? |
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A2 |
That may be possible. Customers visiting docomo Shops nowadays show strong interest in smartphones, and many of them head directly for the smartphone corner immediately after entering the shop. Currently, only 3-4% of smartphone sales come from customers in the 60's age bracket. However, we believe we can expand the opportunities to market smartphones to these senior users in the future through our efforts such as the classroom sessions that we hold in our shops to provide assistance to first-time smartphone users. |
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Q3 |
If your annual smartphone sales exceed your forecast by more than 1.00 million units, and if we can expect ARPU boosting effect of 1,700 yen, by calculation, your revenues will likely end up more than 10.0 billion yen higher than your current estimate. How will this be reflected in your results? |
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A3 |
We would like to review our full-year forecasts when we compile our FY2011/1H results. We will work hard to realize such an increase in our income. |
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